AZ Alkmaar host Groningen in the Eredivisie. Recent meetings have produced an average of 3 goals. Across the season the two attacks average 4.18 goals per game between them, while the two defences concede 3.36. That goal profile is what supports the Over 1.5 selection. The model rates this selection at 90.91%.

• AZ Alkmaar have taken 7 points from their last 5 matches (2W-1D-2L), while Groningen have taken 4 (1W-1D-3L).
• AZ Alkmaar have scored 20 goals in 11 league games this season, conceding 13.
• Groningen have scored 26 goals in 11 league games, conceding 24.
• AZ Alkmaar currently sit 5th on 20 points, while Groningen are 8th on 15.
• Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 3 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 meetings.