La Liga Regular Season - 7
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

2 - 1
FT
Real Madrid

Real Madrid

Expert Prediction

TIP
Away Win
ODDS
2.05
PROBABILITY
48.78%

Result

Atletico Madrid 2 - 1 Real Madrid
Finished
Prediction Result: LOST

The match finished 2–1. The Away Win prediction did not land.

Prediction Analysis

Atletico Madrid host Real Madrid in the La Liga. Atletico Madrid have taken 9 points from their last 5 matches, compared with 12 for Real Madrid. Real Madrid have scored 18 and conceded 8 in the league. Real Madrid sit 4th, compared with Atletico Madrid in 2nd. Real Madrid have won 2 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings. The away side's form and match profile therefore support the Away Win selection. The model rates this selection at 48.78%.

Key Match Factors

  • Atletico Madrid have taken 9 points from their last 5 matches (3W-0D-2L), while Real Madrid have taken 12 (4W-0D-1L).
  • Atletico Madrid have scored 16 goals in 7 league games this season, conceding 7.
  • Real Madrid have scored 18 goals in 7 league games, conceding 8.
  • Atletico Madrid currently sit 2nd on 16 points, while Real Madrid are 4th on 15.
  • Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 3.8 goals per game.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of those 5 meetings.

Recent Form

Atletico Madrid
L L W W W
Real Madrid
L W W W L

Team Statistics

7
Matches Played
7
5
Wins
5
1
Draws
0
1
Losses
2
16
Goals Scored
18
7
Goals Conceded
8

Head to Head

Sep 20, 2026
Atletico Madrid 2 - 1 Real Madrid
Mar 22, 2026
Real Madrid 3 - 2 Atletico Madrid
Jan 8, 2026
Atletico Madrid 1 - 2 Real Madrid
Sep 27, 2025
Atletico Madrid 5 - 2 Real Madrid
Mar 12, 2025
Atletico Madrid 1 - 0 Real Madrid

Standings

Pos Team Pts
1 Barcelona Barcelona 21
2 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 16
3 Real Betis Real Betis 16
4 Real Madrid Real Madrid 15
5 Sevilla Sevilla 13
6 Alaves Alaves 11
7 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 10
8 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 10
9 Villarreal Villarreal 8
10 Athletic Club Athletic Club 8
11 Getafe Getafe 8
12 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 8
13 Osasuna Osasuna 8
14 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 7
15 Espanyol Espanyol 7
16 Racing Santander Racing Santander 7
17 Levante Levante 5
18 Elche Elche 5
19 Valencia Valencia 4
20 Malaga Malaga 3

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