Aston Villa host Manchester City in the Premier League. Recent meetings have produced an average of 3 goals. Across the season the two attacks average 3.71 goals per game between them, while the two defences concede 2.57. That goal profile is what supports the Over 1.5 selection. The model rates this selection at 85.47%.

• Aston Villa have taken 13 points from their last 5 matches (4W-1D-0L), while Manchester City have taken 12 (4W-0D-1L).
• Aston Villa have scored 7 goals in 7 league games this season, conceding 11.
• Manchester City have scored 19 goals in 7 league games, conceding 7.
• Aston Villa currently sit 12th on 8 points, while Manchester City are 1st on 21.
• Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 3 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 4 of those 5 meetings.