The match finished 2–0. The 2 prediction did not land.

Aston Villa host Lille in the UEFA Europa League. Aston Villa have taken 4 points from their last 5 matches, compared with 10 for Lille. Lille have scored 14 and conceded 13 in the league. Lille sit 18th, compared with Aston Villa in 2nd. Lille have won 1 of the last 4 head-to-head meetings. The away side's form and match profile therefore support the 2 selection. The model rates this selection at 21.05%.

• Aston Villa have taken 4 points from their last 5 matches (1W-1D-3L), while Lille have taken 10 (3W-1D-1L).
• Aston Villa have scored 31 goals in 15 league games this season, conceding 8.
• Lille have scored 14 goals in 12 league games, conceding 13.
• Aston Villa currently sit 2nd on 21 points, while Lille are 18th on 12.
• Across the last 4 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 2.25 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 meetings.