Arouca host Nacional in the Primeira Liga. Arouca have taken 10 points from their last 5 matches, compared with 3 for Nacional. Arouca have scored 12 and conceded 7 in the league. Arouca sit 5th, above Nacional in 15th. Arouca have won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings. The home side's form and match profile therefore support the 1 selection. The model rates this selection at 54.64%.

• Arouca have taken 10 points from their last 5 matches (3W-1D-1L), while Nacional have taken 3 (1W-0D-4L).
• Arouca have scored 12 goals in 9 league games this season, conceding 7.
• Nacional have scored 10 goals in 9 league games, conceding 18.
• Arouca currently sit 5th on 17 points, while Nacional are 15th on 7.
• Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 2.2 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 meetings.