The match finished 2–3, producing 5 total goals. The Over 2.5 prediction landed successfully.

Armenia host Montenegro in the UEFA Nations League. Recent meetings have produced an average of 3 goals. Across the season the two attacks average 2.75 goals per game between them, while the two defences concede 2.25. That goal profile is what supports the Over 2.5 selection. The model rates this selection at 12.50%.

• Armenia have taken 3 points from their last 4 matches (0W-3D-1L), while Montenegro have taken 7 (2W-1D-1L).
• Armenia have scored 4 goals in 4 league games this season, conceding 5.
• Montenegro have scored 7 goals in 4 league games, conceding 4.
• Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 3 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 meetings.
• Armenia have drawn 3 of their last 4 matches.