The match finished 1–1. The 2 prediction did not land.

Alaves host Villarreal in the La Liga. Alaves have taken 2 points from their last 5 matches, compared with 9 for Villarreal. Villarreal have scored 72 and conceded 46 in the league. Villarreal sit 3rd, compared with Alaves in 14th. Villarreal have won 2 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings. The away side's form and match profile therefore support the 2 selection. The model rates this selection at 47.17%.

• Alaves have taken 2 points from their last 5 matches (0W-2D-3L), while Villarreal have taken 9 (3W-0D-2L).
• Alaves have scored 44 goals in 38 league games this season, conceding 56.
• Villarreal have scored 72 goals in 38 league games, conceding 46.
• Alaves currently sit 14th on 43 points, while Villarreal are 3rd on 72.
• Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 2.2 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 meetings.