Ajax host AZ Alkmaar in the Eredivisie. Recent meetings have produced an average of 3.2 goals. Across the season the two attacks average 4.9 goals per game between them, while the two defences concede 2.5. That goal profile is what supports the Over 2.5 selection. The model rates this selection at 71.43%.

• Ajax have taken 10 points from their last 5 matches (3W-1D-1L), while AZ Alkmaar have taken 7 (2W-1D-2L).
• Ajax have scored 29 goals in 10 league games this season, conceding 13.
• AZ Alkmaar have scored 20 goals in 10 league games, conceding 12.
• Ajax currently sit 2nd on 21 points, while AZ Alkmaar are 5th on 20.
• Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 3.2 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 meetings.