The match finished 1–2. The 2 prediction landed successfully.

1899 Hoffenheim host FSV Mainz 05 in the Bundesliga. 1899 Hoffenheim have taken 5 points from their last 5 matches, compared with 11 for FSV Mainz 05. FSV Mainz 05 sit 10th, compared with 1899 Hoffenheim in 5th. FSV Mainz 05 have won 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings. The away side's form and match profile therefore support the 2 selection. The model rates this selection at 23.09%.

• 1899 Hoffenheim have taken 5 points from their last 5 matches (1W-2D-2L), while FSV Mainz 05 have taken 11 (3W-2D-0L).
• 1899 Hoffenheim currently sit 5th on 61 points, while FSV Mainz 05 are 10th on 40.
• Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 2.8 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 meetings.
• 1899 Hoffenheim have drawn 2 of their last 5 matches.
• FSV Mainz 05 have drawn 2 of their last 5 matches.